I'm an Assistant Professor of Philosophy at the University of Maryland (College Park). I'm also a Humboldt Research Fellow at the Munich Centre for Mathematical Philosophy, a Research Fellow at the Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis, and a visiting Research Fellow at Philosophy Department at the Australian National University.
My research is currently focused on the so-called "wisdom of crowds” effect and the intersection between social epistemology and psychology. As part of that work, I'm developing a crowdsourcing risk analysis platform called CrowdPredict.it to empirically test philosophically motivated ideas for how to improve methods of aggregating subjective forecasts. This work is kindly supported by the Humboldt Foundation.
- Lyon, A. (forthcoming). Why are Normal Distributions Normal?, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.
- Lyon, A., Grossel, G., Burgman, M., Nunn, M. (2013). Using Internet Intelligence to Manage Biosecurity Risks: A Case Study for Aquatic Animal Health, Diversity and Distributions., 19(5-6):640–650.
- Lyon, A. (2012). Mathematical Explanations of Empirical Facts, and Mathematical Realism, The Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 90(3):559-578.
- Lyon, A., Nunn, M., Grossel, G., Burgman, M. (2012). Comparison of Web–Based Biosecurity Intelligence Systems: BioCaster, EpiSPIDER, and HealthMap, Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, 59(3):223-32.
- Lyon, A. (2011). Deterministic Probability: Neither Chance nor Credence, Synthese, 182(3):413-32.
- Lyon, A. (2010). Philosophy of Probability, Philosophies of the Sciences, F. Allhoff (ed.), Wiley–Blackwell.
- Lyon, A. and Colyvan, M. (2008). The Explanatory Power of Phase Spaces, Philosophia Mathematica, 16 (2): 227-243.
See my CV for a complete list of my publications.