Aidan Lyon
I'm an Assistant Professor of Philosophy at the University of Maryland, College Park. My areas of research include: Philosophy of Science, Philosophy of Probability, Philosophy of Mathematics, Social Epistemology and Formal Epistemology.
I also do some research in biosecurity intelligence with the Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis and the Australian Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry. As part of that research, I'm developing the biosecurity intelligence system for aquatic animal health, AquaticHealth.net.

What I'm up to...
Some upcoming talks:
| April 24 | Maryland Philosophy Colloquium (College Park) - The Wisdom of Collective Credences |
| July 7-12 | International Society for History, Philosophy and Social Studies of Biology (Montpellier) - Maximum Entropy Explanations in Biology |
| August 28 | European Philosophy of Science Symposium (Helsinki) - The Wisdom of Collective Credences |
| Sep 23-24 | Medicine 2.0 (London) - Tracking and Forecasting Aquatic Disease Outbreaks with AquaticHealth.net |
Publications
| Lyon, A. (forthcoming). Why are Normal Distributions Normal?, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. | |
| Lyon, A. (forthcoming). From Kolmogorov, to Popper, to Renyi: There's No Escaping Humphreys' Paradox (When Generalised), Asymmetries of Chance and Time, A. Wilson (ed.), Oxford University Press. | |
| Lyon, A., Grossel, G., Burgman, M., Nunn, M. (forthcoming). Using Internet Intelligence to Manage Biosecurity Risks: A Case Study for Aquatic Animal Health, Diversity and Distributions. | |
| Lyon, A. (forthcoming). Kolmogorov's Axioms and its Discontents, The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, A. Hajek and C. Hitchcock (eds.), Oxford University Press. | |
| Grossel, G., Lyon, A., Nunn, M. (forthcoming). Open-Intelligence Gathering and Analysis for Biosecurity, Risk-Based Decisions for Biological Threats, T. Walshe (ed.), Cambridge University Press. | |
| Lyon, A., Mooney, A., Grossel, G. (forthcoming). Using AquaticHealth.net to Detect Emerging Trends in Aquatic Animal Health, Agriculture | |
| Lyon, A., Pacuit, E. (forthcoming). The Wisdom of Crowds: Methods of Human Judgement Aggregation, Springer Handbook for Human Computation | |
| Lyon, A., Fidler, F., Burgman, M. (2012). Judgement Swapping and Aggregation, AAAI Fall 2012 Technical Report on Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment, AAAI Press. | |
| Lyon, A. (2012). Mathematical Explanations of Empirical Facts, and Mathematical Realism, The Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 90(3):559-578. | |
| Lyon, A., Nunn, M., Grossel, G., Burgman, M. (2012). Comparison of Web–Based Biosecurity Intelligence Systems: BioCaster, EpiSPIDER, and HealthMap, Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, 59(3):223-32. | |
| Wintle, B., Mascaro, S., Fidler, F., McBride, M., Burgman, M., Flander, L., Saw, G., Twardy, C., Lyon, A., Manning, B. (2012). The Intelligence Game: Assessing Delphi Groups and Structured Question Formats, Proceedings of the 5th Australian Security and Intelligence Conference. | |
| Lyon, A. (2011). Deterministic Probability: Neither Chance nor Credence, Synthese, 182(3):413-32. | |
| Lyon, A. (2011). Distributed Surveillance: When Social Media Meets Social Epistemology, Theory and Practice, (2010 World Philosophy Day Proceedings). | |
| Lyon, A. (2010). Philosophy of Probability, Philosophies of the Sciences, F. Allhoff (ed.), Wiley–Blackwell. | |
| Moran, C. and Lyon, A. (2009). Modelling Mine Sustainability – Indicators Based on a Comprehensible Framework, Sustainable Development Indicators in the Minerals Industry (SDIMI) 2009 Proceedings, July: 205-212. | |
| Lyon, A. and Colyvan, M. (2008). The Explanatory Power of Phase Spaces, Philosophia Mathematica, 16 (2): 227-243. |